Brandon Fincher

My digital parchment talking about the government. Send inquiries to fincher.freelance@gmail.com.

Low turnout for high stakes

“It’s a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.” – Winston Churchill

Here’s an impossible question for you.

What do the following numbers have in common? 13, 17 and 12.

No, these are not the scores of my most recent IQ tests, smarty pants. And they obviously are not the results of my most recent body mass index measurements.

These are the voter turnout percentages from the three statewide primary runoff elections prior to this week’s runoff. This means 2022’s primary runoff had 13 percent of registered voters show up to vote while only 17 percent showed in 2020 and a measly 12 percent showed in 2018.

There was not a statewide race in the 2024 runoff election, so I did not include that year here.

To make this clear, these numbers represent the percentage of registered voters who voted in these runoff elections. It would look even worse if we included all Alabamians who are eligible to register and vote but are not registered.

Unfortunately, numbers like these are not unusual for runoff elections, and I expect the voter turnout for this week’s runoff election to be in this percentage range.

There are reasons runoff elections have sparse participation. One is we voted in the primary election only four weeks ago.

People who do not often vote tend to be less motivated to schlep back to their polling site to cast another ballot four weeks later.

Still, I like the runoff being not far removed from the primary election. If your preferred candidate did not make it through the primary, it should not take you more than a month to decide for whom to vote in the runoff.

But if the candidate you supported in the primary is in a runoff, you should have an easy decision, assuming little has changed in the four weeks in between elections.

Another reason for lower turnout is there are fewer races in which to vote since candidates who secured more than half the vote in their primary contests automatically move on to the November election without a runoff.

Fewer races lead to fewer chances for voters to get motivated to vote. If you are only voting to support your neighbor’s campaign to be elected county coroner, you are likely to skip voting in the runoff if your neighbor is not on the ballot.

Of course other factors play into limited voter participation in runoff elections such as how hotly contested the races are and the recent law preventing voting in one political party’s primary and crossing over to vote in the other party’s runoff.

Yet, the real shame about runoff elections in a one-party dominant state like Alabama is the results of these races are going to determine who will be elected to the offices being contested.

Outside of the governor’s race, the Nov. 3 general election will merely be a Republican coronation for the other statewide offices as long as the Republican candidates manage to avoid a massive scandal. That is not meant to shade the Alabama Democratic Party. It is just the current political reality.

This means an election with voter turnout percentage in the teens is likely to decide who will represent the state in vital and powerful positions like attorney general and U.S. senator. A vast majority of voters will not be involved in the decisions.

Part of the blame – and perhaps most of the blame – falls on the voters. If you want government to pay attention to your interests, you at least have to carry out the bare minimum of showing up on election days.

Frankly, it becomes easier to be an elected official when you can ignore 85 percent of registered voters because they will not bother to vote against you and focus your attention on the 15 percent who do vote.

This was just as true when Democrats ruled the roost in Alabama as it is now under Republican dominance.

Alabama’s election structure must also share the blame, though. If voters are not interested in showing up for runoff elections, maybe we should not have them.

My solution is to put everyone from all parties on the ballot for the primary election and then move the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, forward to the November election. It saves the state money and saves the voters’ time by not having a runoff election for which few people have any enthusiasm.

Is there a better way to do this? I am open to ideas. I started the article with an impossible question, but I hope I am not ending it with another.

2 responses to “Low turnout for high stakes”

  1. I’m 100% against mail-in voting, but wonder if there is a fool-proof way to set up a government site where you would be required to enter proof of citizenship, (upload your ID, last 4 of your ssn etc.) then be allowed to vote online, Us old folks access all our SS info from a website and it seems very secure. Aunt Lynda

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    1. That’s a great question, and there is a big debate in election studies about if it is possible to do that. Right now most people say no. The reason is the only way to get it to work without the threat of hackers or a bad actor within an election office illegally altering the results is you would have to be able to connect someone’s digital ballot back to the person who cast it. Doing that would allow people to see how you voted and would violate your right to cast a ballot privately.
      If someone hacked the counted-ballot database or even falsely claimed to hack it just to cause chaos, there would be no way to validate the vote totals are correct without either having a paper trail or knowing how each voter voted. That’s why you have to put your ballot in the secrecy envelope if you vote absentee. The election officials check the information you provide on the outside envelopes, and if everything checks out, they will store the secrecy envelope containing your ballot in with all the other absentee ballots to be counted on election day. You still have they physical ballots available if someone wants to verify the results, and you don’t identify how a particular person voted.
      People are working on making a foolproof online voting system but haven’t been able to create something that would make everyone comfortable yet. Thanks for reading!

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